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TMB-2025-0002··Promised capability
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Grok 5 has a shot at being true AGI

Subject: Grok 5

Claim

"Wait until you see Grok 5. I think it has a shot at being true AGI." Later: a "chance of reaching AGI", and "smartest AI in the world by a significant margin on every metric" (as reported).

Finding

At the time of this build, the most recent xAI model we can find on public leaderboards is Grok 4.7. Grok 5 has therefore been benchmarked exclusively by its future self.

Timeline

  1. 21 Aug 2025
    "Shot at being true AGI."@elonmusk · ♥ 31.5K ↗
  2. 17 Sept 2025
    "A chance of reaching AGI with Grok 5."@elonmusk · ♥ 50.4K ↗
  3. 14 Nov 2025
    "Smartest AI in the world by a significant margin on every metric" (as reported).@XFreeze · ♥ 4.2K ↗
  4. 14 Sept 2026
    Version numbers continue to approach 5 asymptotically.@karanC_12 · ♥ 6.4K ↗

Primary sources

The posts this entry is based on, embedded as published.

Wait until you see Grok 5. I think it has a shot at being true AGI. Haven’t felt that about anything before.
♥ 31.5KOpen on X ↗
I now think @xAI has a chance of reaching AGI with @Grok 5. Never thought that before.
♥ 50.4KOpen on X ↗
ELON MUSK ON GROK 4 HEAVY, GROK 5, AGI & GROKIPEDIA: • Grok 4-Heavy: "is still the smartest AI" • Grok 5: Will be the "smartest AI in the world by a significant margin on every metric" • AGI: Grok 5 represents the first time xAI has a "non-zero chance" of achieving AGI (Musk
♥ 4.2KOpen on X ↗
Elon 1 day ago: slow down AI. Elon today: 4.8 → 4.9 → Grok 5 AGI Bro is slowing down at 1000 mph.
♥ 6.4KOpen on X ↗